Abstract:
The method of revealing probable areas of future strong earthquakes (“seismic gaps”) was first proposed with the Kuril–Kamchatka island arc (KKA). The method is based on the following principle: sources of the strongest (M ≥ 7.7) earthquakes have a significant tendency not to overlap each other. Based on this principle, potential areas of future earthquakes (seismic gaps) were established with a probability of 0.8–0.9. They were located in the south-western, northeastern, and central parts of the arc.
