STATISTIC ESTIMATION OF THE MAXIMUM POSSIBLE EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE FOR THE BAIKAL RIFT ZONE

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dc.contributor.author Ruzhich V.V.
dc.contributor.author Levina E.A.
dc.contributor.author Pisarenko V.F.
dc.contributor.author Lyubushin A.A.
dc.date.accessioned 2021-01-01T08:57:31Z
dc.date.available 2021-01-01T08:57:31Z
dc.date.issued 1998
dc.identifier https://elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=14996147
dc.identifier.citation Geologiya i geofizika, 1998, , 10, 1443-1455
dc.identifier.issn 0016-7886
dc.identifier.uri https://repository.geologyscience.ru/handle/123456789/21951
dc.description.abstract The Bayesian approach is used to estimate main seismic parameters: Mmax - maximum possible regional magnitude; λ - seismic-activity rate; and b - slope of the plot for the magnitude frequency law. The suggested method allows one to use catalogs with varying lower magnitude completeness threshold as well as historical catalogs. The quantiles of Mmax(T) are estimated, where Mmax(T) is the maximum magnitude of an earthquake that will occur in a future time interval T. Also, the magnitude uncertainties (standard deviations) are established. The method is applied to estimate Mmax and Mmax(T) in the Baikal Rift Zone. This estimation gives Mmax = = 8.07±0.47.
dc.title STATISTIC ESTIMATION OF THE MAXIMUM POSSIBLE EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE FOR THE BAIKAL RIFT ZONE
dc.type Статья


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