USING ROBUST KRIGING AND SEQUENTIAL GAUSSIAN SIMULATION TO DELINEATE THE COPPER- AND LEAD-CONTAMINATED AREAS OF A RAPIDLY INDUSTRIALIZED CITY IN YANGTZE RIVER DELTA, CHINA

Abstract

A total of 540 topsoil samples (0–15 cm), 188 subsoil samples (20–40 cm), and four individual soil profiles were collected in this study for mapping the Cu- and Pb-contaminated areas in soils of Zhangjiagang city, an industrialized city in the Yangtze River Delta region of China. Robust geostatistical methods were applied for identifying possible spatial outliers of Cu and Pb data, and then a sequential Gaussian simulation was employed for delineating the potential areas where Cu or Pb concentration was affected by diffuse pollution. The results showed that the spatial outliers of Cu and Pb were strongly associated with various types of factories. The anthropogenic input of Cu to soils at local hotspots was closely related to emissions of printing and dyeing, metallurgical, and chemical factories, whereas a lead oxide factory and a chemical factory resulted in a considerable increase of Pb in the topsoil of the study area. Approximately 30% of the total land area of the study was at potential risk from the Cu or Pb diffuse pollution resulting from rapid industrialization of the area over the past 20 years.