ON THE RELATIONSHIP OF CHANGES IN CASPIAN SEA LEVEL TO NEOTECTONIC MOVEMENTS

Abstract

One of the leading causes of the variations in Caspian Sea level is neotectonic movements, whose pulsational character is determined by solar- (and lunar-) terrestrial relationships. Exogene factors also have their effect - the surface runoff of river waters, the cessation of evaporation of sea water in the Kara-Bogaz-Gol Gulf (since 1980), etc. On the basis of the cyclinal variations in the level of the Caspian Sea that have been discovered, this article proposes a method of graphic prediction of the maximal level of the Caspian Sea to the year 2100.