UNIFIED SCALING THEORY FOR DISTRIBUTIONS OF TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL CHARACTERISTICS IN SEISMOLOGY

Abstract

The paper describes the unified scaling theory for distribution functions of temporal and spatial characteristics in seismology. It is based on the scaling of seismological characteristics calculated for various energy-spatial-temporal intervals. The common mathematical methods for the scaling of distribution functions are developed. The means to test possibility of such scaling are found as well. The relationship between the unified scaling theory and other present scaling approaches is determined. The theory is applied to two characteristics of different seismoactive regions. The first characteristic is the waiting time between earthquakes ΔT, the second one is a new space parameter ΔDmin, which is the minimum distance of a current seismic event to the nearest (in space) neighbor in an energy-spatial-temporal interval. The distribution of the characteristics ΔT and ΔDmin allows estimating the time interval to the next earthquake and the distance of the following earthquake from previous earthquakes. Thus, these characteristics are very important for seismic hazard estimations. Scaling of distributions functions is proven to be successful for ΔDmin in all energy-spatial-temporal intervals and for ΔT with variations of energy/magnitude range. The distribution function of ΔT for various time domains was stable in only 60% of the cases, and near to unstable for spatial variations. © 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.